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Freezing Level: 1,650m, falling toward 900–1,100m Friday across the Northern French Alps & Arlberg
Alps Rating: 8.5/10 — Major Powder Cycle Approaching
ECMWF ensembles favour a cold Atlantic trough mid-week. High-altitude French and Swiss resorts look strongest; southern Dolomites remain under a drier ridge. Heuristic outlook only — not a Met Office product.
Fixture outlook · offline v0
Heuristic tiers from fixture metrics — not avalanche advice.
Fixture mix · G 6 · A 3 · Y 3 · R 3
Base 2,300m · Peak 3,230m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for Val Thorens. About 42cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1100m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,550m · Peak 3,456m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for Tignes. About 38cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1250m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,850m · Peak 3,456m
Rain–snow boundary is elevated (freezing level ~2150m). Lower runs look vulnerable to rain at the village; target high-elevation / glacier terrain only.
Base 1,200m · Peak 3,226m
ECMWF and GFS disagree by ~62% on snowfall for Les Arcs. Storm path remains uncertain — hold 48h before committing deposits.
Base 1,035m · Peak 3,842m
Snowpack at Chamonix is severely degraded (base ~22cm). Coverage and early-season / spring thaw risks are high — pivot to snow-sure alternatives.
Base 1,304m · Peak 2,811m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for St Anton. About 35cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1050m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,450m · Peak 2,811m
Rain–snow boundary is elevated (freezing level ~2100m). Lower runs look vulnerable to rain at the village; target high-elevation / glacier terrain only.
Base 1,377m · Peak 2,872m
Storm track for Ischgl is not yet confirmed by ensemble consensus. High risk of missing the snow or poor visibility — wait 48h for model agreement.
Base 1,350m · Peak 3,340m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for Sölden. About 30cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1300m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,500m · Peak 3,330m
Rain–snow boundary is elevated (freezing level ~2250m). Lower runs look vulnerable to rain at the village; target high-elevation / glacier terrain only.
Base 1,620m · Peak 3,883m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for Zermatt. About 32cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1200m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,800m · Peak 3,500m
ECMWF and GFS disagree by ~55% on snowfall for Saas-Fee. Storm path remains uncertain — hold 48h before committing deposits.
Base 2,050m · Peak 3,480m
Major cold storm cycle confirmed for Cervinia. About 36cm forecast in 96h with freezing levels near 1150m — excellent snow conditions down toward village level.
Base 1,224m · Peak 2,755m
Snowpack at Courmayeur is severely degraded (base ~18cm). Coverage and early-season / spring thaw risks are high — pivot to snow-sure alternatives.
Base 1,200m · Peak 3,264m
Persistent high pressure and a dry 7-day signal leave Dolomiti Superski without meaningful refresh. Poor coverage risk — view alternative snow-sure resorts.
Optional UK snow link only for v1 — Cairngorms / Highland reports are not part of the Alps decision matrix. Check local SAIS avalanche forecasts before travelling.
Scottish Avalanche Information Service →